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Assessing Nasser’s Legacy

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Note: I originally wrote this in response to a question from @GalalAmrG about what I thought of Gamal Abdel Nasser. I'm posting it today - 28 September 2012 - which coincides with the 42nd anniversary of his passing.

 

"What do you think about Nasser?"

It's always been a sensitive question. Before the Arab Spring (and even now) people often weigh you by how you feel about Nasser. When I was young I only knew what I heard from my father, who grew up in Egypt during Nasser's time and who was quite fond of him, and only recently changed his views.

But later on I started to wonder what the net effect of Nasser's time was. Was Egypt (and the Arab world) better off? I remember attending a dinner party in Jordan when I was 17 years old, when the topic was raised. I had said that even though he did not achieve much, at least he imbued Arabs with a feeling of honor and dignity.

Looking back now, and knowing what I now know, I wouldn't say his net effect was a slight positive. I'd say it's a strong negative.

So allow me to assess Nasser’s legacy, between his ascent to power in 1956 and his death in 1970.

 

Nasser’s Effect on Arab Unity

Let me get it out. Nasser’s obsession with Arab unity set the cause of Arab unity back by at least two generations.

Sudan gained its independence from the UK in 1956. Nasser could have focused on an achievable and strategically viable union such as in a Nile Valley Federation, but instead he chose a poorly planned and poorly managed union with Syria that ultimately failed, leaving a lot bad feelings, but more importantly leaving us with an impression that Arab unity is a just pipe dream that can't really be achieved.

Nasser’s involvement in Yemen was similarly destructive, not just for his army but for the cause of Arab unity. Would you advance Arab unity by dropping napalm on Yemeni villages? Or by ordering drove after drove of Egyptian soldiers to their death in a futile war? My impression has always been that unity can only be achieved peacefully, freely, and between responsible and independent entities.

Today, the most successful Arab unity (and the only one, for that matter) isn't one that happened with a lot of pomp and fanfare, but rather quietly. The United Arab Emirates turns 41 later this year.

 

Nasser’s Score Card on Economic Development

Egypt in 1956 was a developing country with a lot of potential. Unfortunately over the next two decades that potential would be squandered. Instead of getting a first-rate economy and industrial base, we ended up with a third-rate economy and a barely functioning industrial base.

And it didn’t take that long either. Egypt had to accept food aid in 1959. It may not sound so serious, until you realize that it’s the first time – ever – probably since the time of the Pharaohs – that Egypt needs to ask for food aid.

Nasser presided over the nationalization of Egypt’s industrial base – but rather than “giving the industries back to the people”, as nationalism is often marketed, this episode gave these industries to the army generals. In many cases they continue to run them to the day.

Instead of an industry that makes products and creates wealth, the focus was an industry that provides as many jobs as possible and provides an income for the army.

In the early 1950s Egypt's per capita GDP was around $500 – some five times greater than the GDP of South Korea ($103) and Taiwan ($170) at the time. Today Egypt's per capita GDP is $6600 while South Korea is soaring above $30,000 and Taiwan is above $35,000. How's that for disappointing?

 

Nasser’s Anti-Colonialism

What drove Nasser most, of course, was resistance to colonialism. But how necessary was that, really?

One lasting effect of the two World Wars was the final dissolution of all the old empires. The cost became just too high, and between 1945 and 1970 the UK quietly rolled back its empire; France tried to hold on (such as in Algeria) but faced the inevitable wrath of history.

Nasser's anti-colonialism, basically, came at a time of worldwide  de-colonialization. He committed his life to fighting a monster that was already tired and had decided it was time to retire.

More than the old European empires, the rising powers of the USA & USSR were far more threatening to Arab independence – but who did Nasser side with?

By the end of WWII, Europe was pretty much divided between the US and the USSR. Over the next decade, the US handed over Germany, Austria, France, Japan, and Korea back to its people. During the same period, however, the USSR asserted its control over its own half of Europe. Who’s the anti-imperialist then?

Of course, Nasser claimed he was non-aligned and hence neither a US ally nor a USSR ally. But we all know the truth – Egypt's army used USSR-made weapons, and its economy followed Soviet-style organization.

Many Nasserites seem to ignore the fact that it was the USSR, and not the US, that was the first country to formally recognize the state of Israel, seen by them as a Western colonial project in the heart of the Arab world.

 

Nasser’s Populism

Nasser, of course, was a great and beloved “popular” authoritarian leader - which I now recognize as the worst kind ever.

Between 1956 and 1970 Nasser had a chance to build a first-rate, highly organized state, and an army to go with it - but instead he built one heck of a personality cult.

“Great” populist dictators "prove" the system. The meta-message is, “this works”. You don't need a democracy, you only need a great leader. You don't need to build institutions and systems and industries, you only need a great leader.

So in effect Nasser did not just give us a military dictatorship. He gave us a military dictatorship that was so charismatic, that it justified military dictatorship as a model – and so popular, that it justified torture, imprisonment, and executions of dissenters without so much as a peep of a complaint.

The lowest of all low points was in the aftermath of the 1967 catastrophe, when in response to Nasser’s resignation, Egyptians took to the streets asking for him back. When my father retold these events to me as a teenager, all I thought was, “Really?” Egypt was a country of 30 million people – and it couldn't find even one leader other than the very person who led it to catastrophe?

Leaders are only truly great when their vision outgrows them, sometimes even in their own lifetimes – when what they build becomes bigger and more important than them, and goes on after them. How does Nasser compare, then? I’ll leave that answer to you.

 

Nasser’s & “Arab Dignity”

Back when I was young, I thought Nasser's faults may be forgiven because he gave us dignity and pride. But now I see that it was empty and meaningless, and directly contributed to the disaster in 1967.

Dignity comes from self-sovereignty and individual rights, and pride comes from achievement and success. A military dictatorship with few achievements can’t give dignity or inspire pride, it can only fake them.

It's no wonder, then, that for the first four days of the Six-Day War, Arabs were told that Egyptian troops were “advancing deep into Israeli territory”, having “downed 70 Israeli jets”, and “completely wiped out the enemy's forces.”

It was fake dignity and fake pride. It was a big lie. Arab dignity and pride was just a balloon filled with Nasser's hot air, that popped in 1967 and never recovered until 2011.

 

Nasser’s Military Scorecard

I won’t get into the direct military effects of Nasser's stewardship of Egypt, because they are obvious and too painful. The proud Egyptian soldier was sent to an Egyptian Vietnam in Yemen in 1962, and then sent back home to have his bones crushed under Israeli tanks in 1967.

What's most infuriating, of course, is Nasser's cavalier and empty brinkmanship. He was warned about an impending Israeli attack by both the USSR and Jordan's King Hussain. His reaction was to ask the UN peacekeepers to withdraw from Sinai, close the Straits of Tiran to Israeli shipping, and openly declare that he seeks nothing less than the destruction of Israel. Nasser gave Israel a clear pretext to attack.

You all know how this story ends – with 15,000 Egyptian soldiers killed, 80% of Egypt's army destroyed, and with a popping of that "Arab dignity & pride" bubble that Nasser had inflated.

 

“Blame Israel”

If you’re a Nasserite reading this, I bet you must have already muttered under your breath: “We couldn't achieve anything because of Israel and the imperialist conspiracy.” In fact among the Nasser era's most enduring legacies is this tendency to blame any of our failures on our Jewish cousins in Tel Aviv.

It's as though the presence of a conspiracy is the grand vindicator. If there's a conspiracy, then you don't have to succeed. You only have to act like you did your best, and then blame your underachievement on the conspiracy.

Let’s get this straight – your enemies will conspire against you. That's pretty much their job. But does that clear you of all responsibility? Of course it doesn't. You can't ask your enemies to lay off with the conspiracies while you build yourself.

Just think: What if the Israelis had fallen into the same “conspiracy” trap? What if they had destroyed their own economy and armed forces while blaming an Arab conspiracy? Can you now see how silly it sounds?

 

Nasser’s Accomplishments

Nasserites will of course point to such accomplishments as the Aswan High Dam and the nationalization of the Suez Canal. They'll also tell you that these were great victories against imperialism. They may well be so, and I'm more than happy to count them on the "pro" side of the scale. But do they really vindicate Nasser?

I'll leave the answer to you.

 


 

Last Updated (Friday, 28 September 2012 17:28)

 

Comments  

 
+3 #17 BY 2012-09-29 20:22
If you measure legacies by dams and gold, then I guess Nasser will make no sense to you. The 'pomp and fanfare' you refer to are the sounds of real people building freedom and lasting unity. This is why the 'quiet' pragmatic unity of the UAE is a falsity, a ghost-regime responsible for many, many more deaths and human rights abuses than Nasser's rule will ever be. The 'peaceful' UAE is the beacon of defeatist and materialistic values that Arab unity should be moving away from. Overall, the shallow conclusions in this post lack vision - not surprising considering your dream for the Arab world resembles the UAE - and then the motives for your disdain for Nasser also becomes clear.
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0 #16 Ali 2012-09-28 22:32
I would appreciate a reply
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+4 #15 Ali 2012-09-28 21:46
I am by no means a Nasserite and I think most of his policies led to negative outcomes.
However, I see too many flaws in the reasoning of this article including lots of superficial analysis, generalization and disregard to historical context (anachronism).
On unity: Nasser was a believer in Arab unity and from his perspective, Israel was the Arab world's main problem and the struggle against it should go through unity and be led by a country in direct confrontation with Israel. On the other hand, the monarchs' agendas were mainly related to maintaining the status quo. So the proxy war in Yemen was pretty much a normal consequence.
Unity implementation did fail but Nasser was coming from the right place in terms of unity.. Putting his money where his mouth is.. trying to gather critical mass to defeat Israel.
Economic score card: disastrous. Agreed. However, we were living in the era of Guevara and such figures that captured the imagination of the world's supposedly "weak". It would have been difficult to market for the principles of the Chicago school in that era.
Anti-colonialism: the U.S did scale back physical presence in Europe and South Asia however, the covenants of the Marshall Plan ensured the U.S would have its way.
Europe became the U.S first line of defense against USSR expansion after WWII whether through U.S influence in Italian parliamentary elections or otherwise.
You perceive the USSR as more imperialistic because it is a heavy mamoth that doesn't possess the soft power and appeal through which the U.S sways foreign countries' populations.
He did align himself with USSR which makes his anti-colonialism argument less credible.
Nasser's populism: it is the fact of the matter that nations, especially in their historical turning points, are usually led by, for better or for worse, by charismatic men who capture the imagination of their population and re-align them according to the leaders' views
Arab dignity: "Dignity comes from self-sovereignty and individual rights, and pride comes from achievement and success."
Yes, for MBA holders and people who are fond of venture capital investing. But not for the other 99% of the people who were, are and will always seek hope and inspiration from larger than life figures and attach themselves to supposedly higher causes. It was not fake. Nobody inspired hope in the Arab people like Nasser. They felt the hope. Obviously, the disappointment after 1967 was as intense as the feelings of hope were.
Nevertheless, the resignation that followed, theatrical or not, was an advanced concept in the Arab world that existed back then and an advanced concept even until 2010 in the Arab world.
Military scorecard: agreed - however, many attribute the half-victory of 1973 to Nasser's ground works.

Blame Isreal: obviously Israel's clout and the U.S support meant that it was capable of weakening the Arab world somehow.
All leaders / nations have / use a scarecrow in the face of enemies. Nasser and the Arabs abused it though.

Finally, I recommend "disordered world" by Amine Maalouf to understand more the deep flaws in your reasoning.
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-1 #14 Bisher 2012-09-28 21:38
@cd133: Personally, I think there is a difference between an accomplishment (in a sense) and duty. Free education is a governments duty. An accomplishment I would say would be defeating Israel, or making a union that dealt with Syrians and Egyptians equally. His visions of Arab unity are blurred. Unity is equality. My relative was part of the coup against the union and he told me how Syrian soldiers were treated, like slaves.
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+3 #13 cd133 2012-09-28 21:25
8. Accomplishments: you kindly "grant" Nasser some accomplishments, summed up in one short paragraph, whilst ignoring his greatest accomplishment of all: free education to all. What was once a privilege of the landed gentry and other members of the bourgeois was now open to all. Not to mention supporting the arts (Umm Kalthoum, the theatre, the film industry, Radio and TV) ad well as culture - all of which are now on a state of sharp decline in the Arab world.

This article is an exercise in bias, self-defeatism and absurdity that is unfitting of you, Mr. Baghdadi. Deeply disappointing. Nasser was no saint, but to glaringly ignore his positive points is dishonest. He died a poor man with reportedly no more than a couple of hundred pounds to his name. Compare that to Sadat, Mubarak or their ilk.
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+3 #12 cd133 2012-09-28 21:16
7. "Blame Israel": to pin this unfortunate middle eastern phenomena on Nasser is, to put it mildly, misrepresenting the truth. Aside from the fact that Israel, quite understandably, worked very diligently at sabotaging the Nasserist project, lending some credibility to this phenomena, one cannot turn a blind eye to the rampant antisemitism in Islamist circles, by far the most aren't adherents to this weltanschauung.

Masons, illuminati, the elders of Zion etc are staples of MB rhetoric. Correct me if I am wrong.
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+3 #11 cd133 2012-09-28 21:09
5. Military scoreboard: 1967 was a catastrophe par excellence. But you predictably and conveniently ignore the war of attrition, the so-called "Granite" plans, and the now non-existent Egyptian military industry.
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+2 #10 cd133 2012-09-28 21:06
5. Arab dignity: what you term "arab dignity" did not merely derive from the biasedly presented example of sophomoric psychological warfare of the Voice of the Arabs radio station. It had to do worth the amazing strides the Arab nations made in the 50s and 60s re: mass education, the support of the arts and culture, the industrialisation of till then backward nations, to name a few points. Suggesting that that is "hot air" reeks of malice.
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+1 #9 cd133 2012-09-28 20:59
4. The personality cult: no disagreement there.
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+5 #8 cd133 2012-09-28 20:56
3. Anti colonialism: the most dangerous point you try to make. Suggesting in any way that resisting colonialism is quixotic is the very type of self defeatist logic usually reserved for the Makayas and Fouad Ajamis of this world. Nasser, for better or for worse, helped liberation movements all over the third world, including but not limited to Algeria and sub Saharan African nations. The empires did not just magically disappear. The resistance to French and British imperialist hegemony lead to the fracture of their empires, to assert that they willingly gave up their colonialist possessions is frankly laughable.

Say that to the million dead Algerians, or the good people of Suez.

This is the point I personally find stomach-churningly sickening.
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